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2024-12-14 02:57:40

Traders increased their bets on the Fed's interest rate cut. After the CPI report was released, swap traders increased their bets on the Fed's interest rate cut before the end of 2025. They now predict that by that time, they will cut interest rates by 87 basis points, which means that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25 basis points next week. In 2025, there will be another two interest rate cuts of 25 basis points each time, which is less than the four times proposed by Fed officials in the latest quarterly bitmap in September.Nasdaq 100 index futures rose 0.4%, and S&P 500 index futures rose 0.3%.Zamrazilova, Deputy Governor of the Czech Central Bank: I hope to see the inflation rate drop in January, and then I can start to consider further relaxing interest rates.


The Baltic dry bulk freight index continued its decline, dragged down by the decline of all ship sectors. The Baltic dry bulk freight index continued its decline on Wednesday, hitting a 15-month low, dragged down by the decline of all ship types. The Baltic dry bulk freight index fell 50 points to 1106 points, the lowest level since September 2023. The freight index of capes dropped by 126 points to 1,377 points, also hitting the lowest level since September 2023. The average daily profit of Cape ships decreased by 1043 dollars to 11421 dollars. Panama shipping freight index fell 24 points to 1053 points. The average daily profit of Panamax decreased by 213 dollars to 9,478 dollars. The freight index of super-handy ships fell by 5 points to 962 points, the lowest level since August 2023.When the Fed became cautious about cutting interest rates, the inflation rate in the United States rose to 2.7% in November, and the inflation rate in the United States rose to 2.7% in November, which was in line with economists' expectations and higher than the level of 2.6% in October. The data highlights people's concerns about sticky inflation after inflation rose in October. It is widely expected that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points for the third time in a row next week, but the pace of interest rate cuts next year is uncertain, because the Fed is striving to achieve the dual mission of keeping the inflation rate close to 2% and maintaining a healthy labor market. As interest rates reach a more "neutral" level, that is, high enough to curb inflation but low enough to protect the labor market, officials have discussed slowing down the pace of interest rate cuts. They say that if we act too fast, inflation may stay above the 2% target, but if we act too slowly, the unemployment rate may rise sharply.Zamrazilova, Deputy Governor of Czech Central Bank: There is no reason to change my view on inflation risk in November, and I still think that interest rate cuts should be suspended.


German Chancellor Scholz: Decisions need to be made before the end of the year, such as improving children's welfare. It is necessary to solve the financial drag problem before the end of the year.Guang' an Aizhong: The company's stock price has been up and down for many days, and the risk of falling in the later period is greater. Guang' an Aizhong issued a change announcement. On December 11, 2024, the company's stock turnover rate was 11.73%, with a turnover of 919 million yuan. Since November 21, 2024, the company's stock has experienced a daily limit of 9 trading days, with a cumulative turnover rate of 257.64%. In view of the daily limit of the company's stock price for many days, but the company's fundamentals have not changed significantly, and the risk of falling in the later period is greater. Investors are advised to make rational decisions and invest cautiously.Analyst Anstey: Today's CPI data will hardly change anyone's prospects. However, those who still think that the Fed will remain inactive next week may reconsider, because inflation is not worse than expected. This seems to give the green light to cut interest rates by 25 basis points on December 18th.

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